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2007-08 Australian region cyclone season

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2007-08 Australian region cyclone season
First storm formed: July 27, 2007
Last storm dissipated: Season currently active
Strongest storm: Nicholas, 944 hPa (mbar)150 km/h (90 mph)(10-minute sustained)
Total depressions: 10
Total storms: 7
Severe Tropical Cyclones: 2
Total fatalities: 170
Total damage: Unknown
Australian region cyclone seasons
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 Post-2008

The 2007-08 Australian region cyclone season is an event in the ongoing cycle of tropical cyclone formation. It officially started on November 1, 2007, and will end on April 30, 2008. However, the formation of a tropical cyclone on July 27, 2007 marked an earlier beginning to the season. The regional tropical cyclone operational plan also defines a "tropical cyclone year" separately from a "tropical cyclone season"; the "tropical cyclone year" began on July 1, 2007 and will end on June 30, 2008.

The scope of the Australian region is limited to all areas south of the equator, east of 90°E and west of 160°E. This area includes Australia, Papua New Guinea, western parts of the Solomon Islands, East Timor and southern parts of Indonesia.

Tropical cyclones in this area are monitored by five Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres (TCWCs): the Australian Bureau of Meteorology in Perth, Darwin, and Brisbane; TCWC Jakarta in Indonesia; and TCWC Port Moresby in Papua New Guinea.[1] The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre issues unofficial warnings for the region, designating tropical depressions with the "S" suffix when they form west of 135°E, and the "P" suffix when they form east of 135°E.

Contents

Storms

Unnamed Tropical Cyclone

Tropical Cyclone (01S) TS
Image:01S 30 july 2007 0315Z.jpg
Duration July 27July 31, 2007
Intensity 40 kt (10-min), 992 hPa (mbar)

An area of low pressure on the edge of the area of responsibility with Perth formed into tropical disturbance on July 29. Although no advisory was issued it was monitored and designated a number[2] by Meteo-France. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center had issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert [3] on the developing system a day earlier, and began warnings on Tropical Cyclone 01S later on July 29 with the storm estimated to be centred within Perth's region. The cyclone began to dissipate early on July 30, with the JTWC discontinuing advisories later that day [4] and the Bureau of Meteorology issuing its last warning the next day.

The Bureau of Meteorology upgraded the disturbance to a tropical cyclone in its post-storm analysis, with maximum 10-min sustained winds of 75 km/h (45 mph) based on QuikSCAT observations. The cyclone's intensity was estimated to have reached cyclone intensity from July 29 to July 30. The cyclone is the second on record to exist in the Western Australian region in July, the other being Cyclone Lindsay in 1996.[5]

Severe Tropical Cyclone Guba

Main article: Cyclone Guba
Severe Tropical Cyclone Guba
Tropical Cyclone 02P
1
Image:Guba 15 nov 2007 2343Z.jpg
Duration November 13November 20, 2007
Intensity 75 kt (10-min), 970 hPa (mbar)

The Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) in Brisbane began issuing warnings on a developing tropical low located near the southern Papua New Guinea mainland on November 13, 2007,[6] while the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert on the storm.[7] Later that day, the JTWC issued its first advisory, designating the low as Tropical Cyclone 02P.[8] TCWC Brisbane initiated tropical cyclone advices on the tropical low early on November 14, with a cyclone watch declared for the northern coastal and island communities in the Cape York Peninsula. Shortly after, TCWC Brisbane upgraded the system to Tropical Cyclone Guba, a name assigned by the TCWC in Port Moresby.[9] The name Guba is a boy's name in Papua New Guinea meaning 'a rain squall on the sea'.[10] Guba drifted erratically off the Queensland coast for the next two days, and cyclone warnings were cancelled when TCWC Brisbane expected the cyclone to remain slow-moving. Guba began drifting southwards and intensified on November 16, becoming a Category 3 severe tropical cyclone. Guba was a small, but intense system, forming a well-defined eye. Guba began weakening on November 17 and was downgraded to a Category 2. After downgraded to a Category 1 cyclone on November 18, it started to accelerate to the west towards the Queensland coast. Cyclone watches and warnings were declared again on November 19 as the cyclone was expected to move closer to the coast and intensify. This did not materialise, however, as Guba then turned northwards later that day, avoiding the Australian mainland, then northeast while it continued to weaken. TCWC Brisbane downgraded Guba below tropical cyclone strength, and issued its last advisory early on November 20.

Flooding in Papua New Guinea led to at least 150 deaths.[11] In the Oro Province, about 2,000 people were evacuated as a result of the flooding.[12] Roads, bridges and 40 houses were washed away, as tides in the area reached two metres high.[13] The provincial capital, Popondetta, had its water supply shut down, and Papua New Guinea's national airline, Air Niugini, suspended flights to Popondetta's main airport. The Rabaraba district in Milne Bay Province was also hit by flooding, with 30 houses and food gardens washed away, and forcing the evacuation of about 100 people.[12] The government in Papua New Guinea reported that an estimated 145,000 people were affected from the flooding in Oro Province.[14] Six days of torrential rain led to a damage total of 200 million kina ($71.4 million USD).

The government has declared the Oro Province a state of emergency. The government in Papua New Guinea has given 50 million kina to help the province's communities. The Papua New Guinea Defence Force and local United Nations officials will assist in the relief, rehabilitation and reconstruction efforts.[13] Australia donated AUD$1 million in humanitarian relief to the affected regions. Five Royal Australian Air Force aircraft and three Australian Army helicopters will be sent to Papua New Guinea to assist in the relief; along with supplies which include water purification tablets, water containers, emergency shelters, blankets and generators. The AusAID organised a mission to assess the damage to infrastructure and to report priority relief needs.[15]

Guba was the first tropical cyclone to be assigned a name from Port Moresby's name lists since Tropical Cyclone Epi in 2003. It is the first cyclone to occur in the Queensland region in the month of November since 1977.[16]

Tropical Cyclone Lee-Ariel

Tropical Cyclone Lee-Ariel
Tropical Cyclone 03S
TS
Image:Lee-Ariel 16 nov 2007 0306Z.jpg
Duration November 13November 19, 2007
Intensity 50 kt (10-min), 980 hPa

On November 13, the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) in Perth began issuing warnings on a developing tropical low which was located within the area of responsibility of TCWC Jakarta.[17] On November 14, TCWC Perth upgraded the Tropical Low to Tropical Cyclone Lee, while the cyclone was still in TCWC Jakarta's area of responsibility.[18] Later that day the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert on Tropical Cyclone Lee,[19] and then designated the storm as Tropical Cyclone 03S shortly after.[20] The TCWC in Perth upgraded Lee to a Category 2 on November 15. Later that day, TCWC Perth issued its final advisory on Lee as it crossed west of 90°E,[21] and the system was renamed Severe Tropical Storm Ariel by the Sub-Regional Tropical Cyclone Advisory Centre in Mauritius; see 2007-08 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season.[22]

Tropical Low (ex Tropical Cyclone Dama)

Tropical Low
Tropical Cyclone 07S
TS
Image:Dama MODIS Aqua 19 dec 0810Z.jpg
Duration December 18December 22, 2007
Intensity 35 kt (10-min), 995 hPa

On December 18, a Tropical Depression in the southwest Indian Ocean was named Moderate Tropical Storm Dama, monitored by Météo France. The system then moved southeast, entering the area of responsibility of Perth's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre, east of 90°E. The storm however, was not at Tropical Cyclone strength when it crossed the area, but was still a tropical depression, in which the Perth TCWC began issuing shipping warnings.

Tropical Cyclone Melanie

Tropical Cyclone Melanie
Tropical Cyclone 08S
TS
Image:Melanie 2007-12-29 0240z.jpg
Duration December 28, 2007January 2, 2008
Intensity 60 kt (10-min), 964 hPa

On December 27, the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) in Perth identified a Tropical Low near 11.2°S and 117.2°E, and began issuing shipping warnings for the developing system.[23] Early on December 28, the TCWC in Perth upgraded the tropical low to a tropical cyclone and named it Melanie.[24] The cyclone moved southwards, then turned to the southwest on December 29 and strengthened to a Category 2 (Australian scale).[25] Cyclone watches and warnings were issued for the Pilbara coast. On December 30 Melanie began to weaken and become less organized. Melanie continued to weaken and the system was downgraded to Category 1 status on December 31. Continued weakening took place thereafter and it weakened below cyclone status early on January 2, when the final advisory was issued.[26]

Tropical Low (WA)

Tropical Low TL
Image:Temporary cyclone north.svg
Duration December 31, 2007January 2, 2008
Intensity 30 kt (10-min), 994 hPa

On December 31, the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) in Perth identified a Tropical Low north-northwest of the Cocos Islands, and began issuing shipping warnings. [27] The low then moved southwest for the next few days, where it proceeded to enter an area of high vertical Wind Shear, and began to rapidly weaken. The TCWC issued its final shipping warning on January 2. [28]

Tropical Cyclone Helen

Tropical Cyclone Helen
Tropical Cyclone 10S
TS
Image:Helen MODIS Aqua 04 jan 2008 0450Z.jpg
Duration January 3January 6, 2008
Intensity 50 kt (10-min), 975 hPa

On January 3 the TCWC in Darwin, Australia, identifed a Tropical low, located near the edge of their Area of Responsabilty, with TCWC Perth, which had formed over land and had moved into the Timor Sea. [29] Later that day a TCFA was issued by the JTWC who then upgraded the low to a Tropical Cyclone designating the cyclone 10S later that day. [30] [31] Early on January 4 TCWC Darwin then upgraded the low to Tropical Cyclone Helen [32]. Tropical Cyclone Helen reached its peak intensity later that day of 50 knots. [33] It then started to weaken due to interaction with land with it weakening in to a tropical low on January 5 as it had become less orgainsed. [34]. on January 6 the JTWC issued its final warning on Tropical Cyclone Helen, [35] and then later that day TCWC Darwin followed suit and issued its final advisory on Tropical Low Ex-Helen as it approached TCWC Brisbane's Area of Responsibility. [36]

Tropical Low (17S)

Tropical Low
Tropical Cyclone 17S
TL
Image:17S 07 feb 2008 0330Z.jpg
Duration February 4February 10, 2008
Intensity 30 kt (10-min), 990 hPa

On February 4, the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) in Perth identified a Tropical Low near 15.4°S and 101.5°E, and began issuing shipping warnings.[37] On February 7, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued its first advisory, designating the low as Tropical Cyclone 17S.[38] On February 10 Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Perth and Joint Typhoon Warning Center issued their final advisory on the system.[39]

Severe Tropical Cyclone Nicholas

Severe Tropical Cyclone Nicholas
Tropical Cyclone 19S
1
Image:Nicholas 15 feb 2008 0240Z.jpg
Duration February 10February 20, 2008
Intensity 80 kt (10-min), 944 hPa

On February 10, the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) in Perth identified a Tropical Low near 16.0°S and 124.7°E, and began issuing tropical cyclone advices on the system.[40] On February 12, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert on the developing system.[41] Later in the day, the JTWC issued its first advisory, designating it as Tropical Cyclone 19S.[42] Early on February 13, the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre in Perth upgraded the tropical low to a tropical cyclone and named it "Nicholas".[43] On February 16, Nicholas was upgraded to a Severe Tropical Cyclone,[44] but it was downgraded back to a tropical cyclone on February 18.[45] Nicholas squirmed around Western Australia before finally making landfall north of Carnarvon on February 20.[46] Once inland, TCWC Perth discontinued advisories.[47]

Tropical Cyclone Ophelia

Tropical Cyclone Ophelia
Tropical Cyclone 21S
1
Image:Ophelia 03 mar 2008 0610Z.jpg
Duration February 27March 7, 2008
Intensity 55 kt (10-min), 964 hPa

On February 27, 2008 the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) in Darwin identified a Tropical Low near the Northern Territory, and began issuing tropical cyclone advices on the system.[48] On February 29, the JTWC issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert on the developing system.[49] On March 1, the JTWC issued their first warning on Tropical Cyclone 21S.[50] The low moved into TCWC Perth's area of responsiblity during the day. The low strengthened as it moved off the Kimberley coast, and was upgraded to Tropical Cyclone Ophelia by TCWC Perth.[51] Ophelia intensified to a Category 2 cyclone on the Australian scale early on March 2. The JTWC briefly upgraded Ophelia to a Category 1 cyclone on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale later that day, but was downgraded to a tropical storm on the next advisory.

Other storms

Tropical Cyclone 20P

Tropical Cyclone 20P TS
Image:20P 29 feb 2008 0400Z.jpg
Duration February 29February 29, 2008
Intensity 35 kt, 996 hPa

On February 28, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert on an area of disturbed weather northeast of Australia.[52] The next day, the JTWC issued its first advisory on the Tropical Cyclone 20P.[53] Later that day, the JTWC issued its final advisory on the system noting the storm was becoming extratropical.[54]. Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane noted this system as a Tropical Low with a central pressure of 999 hPa but no Shipping Warnings were released. [55]

Timeline of recent events

February

February 10
0000 UTC - TCWC Perth begins shipping warnings on 98S.INVEST, a new tropical low located 60 kilometres south-southeast of Kuri Bay.[56]
February 13
0000 UTC: TCWC Perth upgrades the tropical low 430 km northwest of Broome as Tropical Cyclone Nicholas.[57]
February 16
0600 UTC: - TCWC Perth upgrades Tropical Cyclone Nicholas to Severe Tropical Cyclone Nicholas. [58]
February 18
0600 UTC - TCWC Perth downgrades Severe Tropical Cyclone Nicholas to a tropical cyclone.[59]
February 20
0300 UTC - Tropical Cyclone Nicholas makes landfall north of Carnarvon.[60]
0600 UTC - TCWC Perth downgrades Tropical Cyclone Nicholas to a tropical low.[61]
February 27
0600 UTC - TCWC Darwin identifies a tropical low near the Northern Territory.[62]
February 29
0900 UTC - The JTWC designates an area northeast of Australia as Tropical Cyclone 20P.[63]
2100 UTC - The JTWC issues its last advisory on Tropical Cyclone 20P as it becomes extratropical.[64]

March

March 1
0900 UTC - The JTWC designates the tropical low as Tropical Cyclone 21S. [65]
1200 UTC - TCWC Perth upgrades Tropical Cyclone 21S, 245 km north of Broome, to Tropical Cyclone Ophelia.[66]
March 6
2100 UTC - The JTWC issues its last advisory on dissipating Tropical Cyclone Ophelia.[67]
March 7
0000 UTC - TCWC Perth issues its last advisory on Tropical Cyclone Ophelia.[68]

Storm names

Indonesia

Tropical cyclones that develop between the Equator and 10°S and between 90°E and 125°E are assigned names by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre in Jakarta, Indonesia.[1] A name list for this region has not yet been announced[69].

Southeast Indian Ocean

Tropical cyclones that develop east of 90°E, south of 10°S, and west of 125°E are assigned names by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre in Perth, Western Australia.[1] Names are assigned from sequential lists; the rest of the current list is shown below.[70] Names that have not yet been assigned are shown in gray; bold names are currently active.

  • Lee
  • Melanie
  • Nicholas
  • Ophelia
  • Pancho (unused)
  • Rosie (unused)
  • Selwyn (unused)
  • Tiffany (unused)
  • Victor (unused)
  • Zelia (unused)

Arafura Sea and Gulf of Carpentaria

Tropical cyclones that develop south of the Equator between 125°E and 141°E are assigned names by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre in Darwin, Northern Territory.[1] Names are assigned from sequential lists; the next five names on the current list are shown below.[70] Names that have not yet been assigned are shown in gray; bold names are currently active.

  • Helen
  • Ira (unused)
  • Jasmine (unused)
  • Kim (unused)
  • Laura (unused)

Coral Sea

Tropical cyclones that develop south of 10°S between 141°E and 160°E are assigned names by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre in Brisbane, Queensland.[1] Names are assigned from sequential lists; the next five names on the current list are shown below.[70] Names that have not yet been assigned are shown in gray; bold names are currently active.

  • Rebecca (unused)
  • Sebastian (unused)
  • Tania (unused)
  • Vernon (unused)
  • Whitney (unused)

Solomon Sea and Gulf of Papua

Tropical cyclones that develop north of 10°S between 141°E and 160°E are assigned names by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre in Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.[1] Tropical cyclone formation in this area is rare, and prior to this season, no cyclones had developed in it since 2003.[71] The name lists are assigned in random order, and names are used only once; the current list of names are shown below.

  • Alu (unused)
  • Buri (unused)
  • Dodo (unused)
  • Emau (unused)
  • Fere (unused)
  • Guba
  • Hibu (unused)
  • Ila (unused)
  • Kama (unused)
  • Lobu (unused)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f http://www.wmo.ch/pages/prog/www/tcp/documents/TCP-24-OP-PLN-2006-edition-english.pdf
  2. ^ http://img175.imageshack.us/img175/3108/tropicaldisturbance16rrc9.jpg
  3. ^ WebCite query result
  4. ^ WebCite query result
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  6. ^ Gale Warning for North Eastern Area: Tropical Low. Bureau of Meteorology (November 13, 2007). Retrieved on November 15, 2007.
  7. ^ Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (November 13, 2007). Retrieved on November 15, 2007.
  8. ^ Tropical Cyclone 02P Warning NR 001. Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (November 13, 2007). Retrieved on November 15, 2007.
  9. ^ Gale Warning for North Eastern Area: Tropical Cyclone Guba. Bureau of Meteorology (November 14, 2007). Retrieved on November 15, 2007.
  10. ^ Johnson, Leonie. "First cyclone named", Townsville Bulletin, November 14, 2007. Retrieved on November 14, 2007.
  11. ^ "At least 150 dead in PNG floods", BBC, November 21, 2007. Retrieved on November 21, 2007.
  12. ^ a b
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  42. ^ Tropical Cyclone 19S Warning NR 001. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (February 12, 2008). Retrieved on February 14, 2008.
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  71. ^ Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Summary June 2003


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